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Dates
- May 2025
- April 2025

S
Short-Term Money, Long-Term Trouble – by Dr. Cecil Bohanon and Dr. John Horowitz
- Business
May 7, 2025 by christianhartselle
Last month’s bank failures are reminiscent of the turmoil in the banking industry in 2007-2008. In both cases, banks got caught with assets that had decreased in value. Then it was the newly created mortgage-backed securities that declined in value. This time, long-term government bonds in the banks’ portfolios fell in value. A decline in […]

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S
Stay the Course to Lower Inflation – by Dr. Cecil Bohanon and Dr. John Horowitz
- Inflation
May 6, 2025 by christianhartselle
Originally written on 1/17/2023 The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the year-to-year increase in the consumer price index (cpi) fell from a high of 9.0% in June 2022 to 6.5% in December 2022. This is good economic news because this is the sixth consecutive month the year-to-year rate has declined. The Federal Reserve’s policy […]

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I
Inflation, Interest Rates, and the Fed’s Next Move – by Dr. Cecil Bohanon and Dr. John Horowitz
- Inflation
May 2, 2025 by christianhartselle
Originally written on 10/10/2023 Where is the U.S. economy going, and what should government do to ensure prosperity? A critical player is the Federal Reserve, whose primary job is maintaining a low and stable inflation rate. The Federal Reserve has more or less established a 2% long-run inflation target. In our opinion, it would be […]

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T
The Fed’s Fight: Money vs. Inflation – by Dr. Cecil Bohanon and Dr. John Horowitz
- Inflation
May 1, 2025 by christianhartselle
Originally written on 9/20/2022 “Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon.” Milton Friedman made this line famous in a talk he gave in India in 1963. In his view, both the cause and the cure for inflation rest squarely with the monetary authorities. Inflation is caused by an excessive expansion of the money supply […]

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E
Exact economic estimates merit your skepticism – by Dr. Cecil Bohanon and Dr. John Horowitz
- Macroeconomics
April 30, 2025 by christianhartselle
Originally written on 11/7/2022 In his new book, Economist Russ Roberts writes about tame and wild problems. Tame problems are well-defined and predictable, and wild problems are loosely defined and unpredictable. The moon landing was a tame problem. Though it was difficult, it was a defined and predictable use of science, engineering, and rational thought. […]

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Y
Yes, printing money during COVID led to inflation – by Dr. Cecil Bohanon and Dr. John Horowitz
- Inflation
April 30, 2025 by christianhartselle
Originally written on 11/29/2022 Did the Federal government print money to spend for COVID relief and other expenditures, and is that why we are now experiencing inflation? Any first-year macroeconomics student should know that it isn’t that simple. But when we look at the effect of Federal Treasury/Federal Reserve financing, this assessment is mainly correct. […]

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T
This Thanksgiving, there’s plenty to be grateful for – by Dr. Cecil Bohanon and Dr. John Horowitz
- Macroeconomics
April 30, 2025 by christianhartselle
Originally written on 11/22/2022 During the dark days of the Civil War and while probably experiencing depression, Abraham Lincoln declared a day of Thanksgiving for the bounties and blessings Providence provided. Many countries and cultures have harvest festivals and thanksgiving feasts to express thanks. Philosophers, religious leaders, and scientists throughout the ages have discussed how […]

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B
Bernanke, other economists deserving of Nobel Prize – by Dr. Cecil Bohanon and Dr. John Horowitz
- Inflation
April 24, 2025 by christianhartselle
Originally written on 10/11/2022 The 2022 Nobel Prize in Economics was awarded to former Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke and Douglas Diamond, an economist at the University of Chicago, and Philip H. Dybvig, an economist at Washington University. The Wall Street Journal reported: “their work helped governments and central bankers navigate the global financial crisis and avoid […]

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