{"id":129,"date":"2025-06-11T15:16:28","date_gmt":"2025-06-11T19:16:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/people.bsu.edu\/econbriefs\/?p=129"},"modified":"2025-06-11T15:16:28","modified_gmt":"2025-06-11T19:16:28","slug":"how-ceasefires-shape-economic-and-political-power-by-dr-cecil-bohanon-and-dr-john-horowitz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/people.bsu.edu\/econbriefs\/2025\/06\/11\/how-ceasefires-shape-economic-and-political-power-by-dr-cecil-bohanon-and-dr-john-horowitz\/","title":{"rendered":"How Ceasefires Shape Economic and Political Power \u2013 by Dr. Cecil Bohanon and Dr. John Horowitz"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Originally written on 5\/14\/2024<\/em><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Protestors are demanding a ceasefire between Hamas and Israel. Recently, there have been discussions of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. During the Korean War, the United Nations agreed to a ceasefire and a demilitarized zone between North and South Korea, which U.S. and Korean troops have been patrolling ever since.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In her recent book <\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Redefining Ceasefires: Wartime Order and Statebuilding in Syria,<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> Marika Sosnowski argues that ceasefires have important economic and governance implications. She discusses four types of ceasefires. The first is substantive ceasefires, where opposing forces have roughly equal power and create precise ceasefire agreements. Precise language helps reduce strategic deception. The ceasefire and demilitarized zone separating North and South Korea is an example.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The second type of ceasefire, she calls interim ceasefires. In interim ceasefires, opposing forces have roughly equal power, but the ceasefire agreements are vague. The agreements typically create some monitoring mechanism to monitor the plan&#8217;s implementation. An example of an interim ceasefire was the United Nation&#8217;s six-point plan for Syria. Interim ceasefires&#8217; vagueness often makes them unactionable, with no specific obligations, responsibilities, coordination, or notification procedures. Interim ceasefires may allow parties on the diplomatic level to retain the status quo while dealing with local areas as they see fit. They may also allow the parties to avoid dealing with key conflict issues.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Third are symbolic ceasefires. In symbolic ceasefires, one party has more power than the other, and the ceasefire agreements are vague. The provisions are like a memorandum of understanding, often with aspirational text about what the parties want to see but little detail on how it will happen. An example is the UN-endorsed 2016 Cessation of Hostilities in Syria Accord. The more powerful party can dictate, enforce, or ignore the terms of the agreement and use it to consolidate its power. For example, the Syrian regime targeted the opposition by labeling them as terrorist elements.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Fourth are coercive ceasefires. In coercive ceasefires, one party has more power than the other, and ceasefire agreements are detailed. For example, the Syrian government, supported by the Russian military, negotiated hundreds of localized ceasefires that the government calls reconciliation agreements. The localized ceasefires allowed the government to assert control over the area, which in practice means that people viewed as part of the political opposition must leave to survive.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Ceasefires are tools that groups use to improve their economic and political positions. The outcomes of ceasefires vary enormously depending on their details and implementation.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335559731&quot;:720}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Originally written on 5\/14\/2024 Protestors are demanding a ceasefire between Hamas and Israel. Recently, there have been discussions of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. During the Korean War, the United Nations agreed to a ceasefire and a demilitarized zone between North and South Korea, which U.S. and Korean troops have been patrolling ever since.\u00a0\u00a0 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[202],"tags":[1234,360,1241,1246,1239,1238,1243,1244,1236,1242,1247,1237,1245,1235,1240],"class_list":["post-129","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-geopolitics","tag-ceasefires","tag-conflict-resolution","tag-diplomacy","tag-economic-impact","tag-governance","tag-hamas-israel","tag-international-relations","tag-military-strategy","tag-north-korea","tag-peace-agreements","tag-political-power","tag-russia-ukraine","tag-statebuilding","tag-syria","tag-wartime-economy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>How Ceasefires Shape Economic and Political Power \u2013 by Dr. Cecil Bohanon and Dr. John Horowitz - Econ Briefs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/people.bsu.edu\/econbriefs\/2025\/06\/11\/how-ceasefires-shape-economic-and-political-power-by-dr-cecil-bohanon-and-dr-john-horowitz\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How Ceasefires Shape Economic and Political Power \u2013 by Dr. Cecil Bohanon and Dr. John Horowitz - Econ Briefs\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Originally written on 5\/14\/2024 Protestors are demanding a ceasefire between Hamas and Israel. 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