{"id":64,"date":"2025-05-07T09:08:47","date_gmt":"2025-05-07T13:08:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/people.bsu.edu\/econbriefs\/?p=64"},"modified":"2025-05-07T09:08:47","modified_gmt":"2025-05-07T13:08:47","slug":"short-term-money-long-term-trouble-by-dr-cecil-bohanon-and-dr-john-horowitz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/people.bsu.edu\/econbriefs\/2025\/05\/07\/short-term-money-long-term-trouble-by-dr-cecil-bohanon-and-dr-john-horowitz\/","title":{"rendered":"Short-Term Money, Long-Term Trouble \u2013 by Dr. Cecil Bohanon and Dr. John Horowitz"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Last month&#8217;s bank failures are reminiscent of the turmoil in the banking industry in 2007-2008. In both cases, banks got caught with assets that had decreased in value. Then it was the newly created mortgage-backed securities that declined in value. This time, long-term government bonds in the banks&#8217; portfolios fell in value. A decline in the value of a bank&#8217;s assets can make a bank insolvent, as its current liabilities exceed the current liquidation value of its devalued assets. Once bank depositors get wind of this, it is almost impossible to prevent a panic, where depositors frantically scramble to get their cash out of the bank.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:480}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Bank failures have been part of <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/americandeposits.com\/brief-history-us-bank-failures\/#:~:text=The%20Panic%20of%201873&amp;text=In%20September%20of%201873%2C%20Jay,United%20States'%20first%20great%20depression.\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">U.S. history since at least 1819<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. Congress <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.stlouisfed.org\/in-plain-english\/history-and-purpose-of-the-fed\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">created the Federal Reserve because of a severe banking panic in 1907<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Federal_Deposit_Insurance_Corporation\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">The Banking Act of 1933 created Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation to restore trust in the banking system after as many as a third of the banks failed.<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> More extensive banking <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Dodd%E2%80%93Frank_Wall_Street_Reform_and_Consumer_Protection_Act\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">regulations were introduced after the 2008 Crisis to decrease the chance of financial institutions failing<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559731&quot;:720,&quot;335559740&quot;:480}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In the 1960s and 1970s, Bohanon&#8217;s grandfather, the original C.E. Bohanon, was CEO of Phoenix Federal Savings and Loan in Muskogee, Oklahoma. After retiring in the 1980s, he predicted there would be a Savings and Loans crisis. S&amp;Ls were financing too many long-term projects with short-term money. Grandpa Bohanon passed away in 1986, so he did not see his predictions come true in 1990. It is always the same story. The lender takes risks with deposits that don&#8217;t pay off. <\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559740&quot;:480}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">C.E. cut his bones as a young banker in a bank collapse at a small-town state-chartered bank in the 1920s. The Haskell, Oklahoma, bank&#8217;s lending clients were cotton farmers. The bank collapsed when the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/search?q=Cotton+Prices+in+1920%27s&amp;rlz=1C1GCEA_enUS837US837&amp;sxsrf=APwXEderuLySZTosEnjOGkhvsUf5tHTEgQ%3A1679858788226&amp;ei=ZJwgZOzDDdS8ptQPuLqz8As&amp;ved=0ahUKEwjsheHSqfr9AhVUnokEHTjdDL4Q4dUDCBA&amp;uact=5&amp;oq=Cotton+Prices+in+1920%27s&amp;gs_lcp=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&amp;sclient=gws-wiz-serp#ip=1:~:text=Statistics%20on%20Cotton%20and%20Related%20Data%3A%201920%2D1956\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">price of cotton declined to 11 cents a pound in 1926<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. There was no deposit insurance, but Oklahoma state law required the bank directors to provide partial compensation to the bank&#8217;s time depositors. The 27-year-old Bohanon borrowed a substantial sum to make this payment, though he could have declared bankruptcy. Twenty years later, he finished repaying the debts shortly after the Second World War. No wonder his judgment was considered quite old-fashioned and quaint pre-S&amp;L crisis. But it was timeless and correct! Similarly, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/articles\/2023\/03\/15\/passing_the_buck_on_the_svb_bank_run_148983.html?fbclid=IwAR1QfZkp2GXwSARgDYnQvobYy7pS1zZL5nBhlKBmxMFlYKxUs0Dv0N8ZdRQ\"><span data-contrast=\"none\">the failure of SVB is almost exclusively driven by regulators and bank management ignoring what country bankers knew. That is, you can&#8217;t finance long-term investments with short-term money.\u00a0<\/span><\/a><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335559731&quot;:720,&quot;335559740&quot;:480}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last month&#8217;s bank failures are reminiscent of the turmoil in the banking industry in 2007-2008. In both cases, banks got caught with assets that had decreased in value. Then it was the newly created mortgage-backed securities that declined in value. This time, long-term government bonds in the banks&#8217; portfolios fell in value. A decline in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[488],"tags":[681,677,676,686,674,655,679,685,680,4,683,678,675,684,687,682,96,688],"class_list":["post-64","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-business","tag-2008-crisis","tag-assets","tag-bank","tag-bank-collapse","tag-bank-failure","tag-banking","tag-banking-act-of-1933","tag-deposit","tag-federal-deposit-insurance-corporation","tag-federal-reserve","tag-lender","tag-liabilities","tag-mortgage-backed-securities","tag-risk","tag-sl","tag-savings-and-loans-crisis","tag-securities","tag-svb"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Short-Term Money, Long-Term Trouble \u2013 by Dr. Cecil Bohanon and Dr. John Horowitz - Econ Briefs<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/people.bsu.edu\/econbriefs\/2025\/05\/07\/short-term-money-long-term-trouble-by-dr-cecil-bohanon-and-dr-john-horowitz\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Short-Term Money, Long-Term Trouble \u2013 by Dr. Cecil Bohanon and Dr. John Horowitz - Econ Briefs\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Last month&#8217;s bank failures are reminiscent of the turmoil in the banking industry in 2007-2008. 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